For this polished draft assignment, you only have to submit your two examples confusing causation with correlation. The examples must be from your experience and observation, not from the text. If you want to submit a complete polished draft, do so.
Remember this will be a 4 page typewritten essay.
Correlation or causation?
Because economics deals with real-world situations, it is difficult to hold the kind of experiment necessary to prove absolute causation. Economic tools can easily uncover correlations, which show relationships between two factors. Remember, though, that no matter how concrete they may seem, these correlations do not prove causation. Confusing causation with correlation can lead to thoughtless claims being made. Two factors might have a reverse relationship, or even a third variable that is causing both of the two related factors.
In Chapter 5 of Freakonomics, Levitt and Dubner argue that research refutes the conventional wisdom held by most parents that what a parent does makes a difference in whether a child succeeds. What is the basis for their argument? What might be an explanation for their strange conclusion?
When looking at statistical data over a period of time, what does correlation mean? How is it different from causation? Explain two examples from your experience where you have observed correlation being confused with causation. The first example must be from before the coronavirus epidemic; the second example must be from during the coronavirus epidemic.
Audience: Even though you are writing this essay for a class, you should write it so that readers outside our class will be able to understand your essays purpose and your position. Pretend that if people found a copy of your essay in a cafe, they would understand clearly the context of the essay, your purpose, and the evidence you provide.
Requirements:
Length of Final Paper: Four typewritten pages.
Double spaced with both left and right margins.
Polished draft due: No later than April 30th.
Final draft due: No later than May 10th.
Successful essays will
Reference and respond to Levitt and Dubners definition of causation and correlation.
Allude to the importance of conventional wisdom in identify/misidentifying causation.
Summarize the authors conclusion on the influence of parents on their childrens success.
Include an example from your own experience or observation that confused correlation with causation from before the current health crisis.
Include an example from your own experience or observation that has confused correlation with causation from during the current health crisis.
